Agriculture Portfolio

Methodology

This is a completely top-down macro approach in identifying trends in various asset classes as liquidity moves globally affecting their fundamentals. As risk assets like Equity get pricey with current stock values pricing in most of the anticipated future cash flows; developing macros around rising inflation, taper talks, supply chain issues could weigh much larger on financial assets vs. real assets. India, courtesy of good monsoon has not seen any steep price rise since last year in agricultural commodities other than edible oil & pulses (import commodities). Going ahead food inflation will be influenced on the upside due to factors like - international prices, monsoon progress, fuel cost rise & political factors.